Yankees vs. Rays Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/21/2022

The New York Yankees (50-17), led by the red-hot Anthony Rizzo and his two-game homer streak, are -172 favorites to pick up a win over the Tampa Bay Rays (36-31) Tuesday at 7:10 PM ET, live from Tropicana Field. New York is expected to give the ball to Nestor Cortes, while Tampa Bay has yet to name a starting pitcher.

Yankees vs. Rays Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Rays

Our computer pick: Tampa Bay Rays (+147) and Over (7)

Yankees vs. Rays Game Info

• New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes
• Game Day: Tuesday, June 21, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: St. Petersburg, Florida
• Stadium: Tropicana Field

Yankees Starter Nestor Cortes

• Nestor Cortes Jr. (6-2) gets the starting nod for the Yankees in his 13th start of the season. He has a 1.94 ERA in 69 2/3 innings pitched, with 75 strikeouts.
• In 12 games this season, the 27-year-old has an ERA of 1.94, with 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .190 against him.
• Cortes has collected five quality starts this season.
• Cortes is trying to collect his 10th start of five or more innings this year in this game.
• He will face off against a Rays offense that is batting .230 as a unit (25th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .368 (26th in MLB) with 60 total home runs (23rd in MLB).
• Head-to-head against the Rays this season, Cortes has pitched 13 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on seven hits while striking out nine.
• The 27-year-old ranks fourth in ERA (1.94), seventh in WHIP (.933), and 12th in K/9 (9.7) among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Yankees have been favored 61 times and won 45, or 73.8%, of those games.
• New York is 30-7 this season when entering a game favored by -172 or more on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Yankees, based on the moneyline, is 63.2%.
• New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 29 of their 66 opportunities.
• The Yankees are 35-31-0 ATS in their 66 games with a spread this season.

Rays Betting Picks & Insights

• The Rays have been underdogs in 18 games this season and have come away with the win six times (33.3%) in those contests.
• Tampa Bay has been listed as an underdog of +147 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
• The Rays have an implied victory probability of 40.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
• Contests with Tampa Bay have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 29 of 67 chances this season.
• The Rays are 30-37-0 against the spread in their 67 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

• Aaron Judge’s 25 long balls and 50 RBI both lead the Yankees, on top of his team-high .301 average.
• Of all hitters in MLB, Judge ranks first in homers and sixth in RBI.
• Rizzo has 10 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 28 walks while hitting .233.
• Rizzo ranks third in homers and eighth in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Rizzo has five games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .533 with four home runs, three walks and eight RBI.
• Gleyber Torres is batting .267 with 13 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 13 walks.
• Torres will look to build on his four-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .444 with five doubles, a home run and four RBI.
• DJ LeMahieu has 12 doubles, six home runs and 24 walks while batting .258.

Rays Leaders & Batting Stats

• Yandy Diaz leads the Rays with a team-high batting average of .269.
• Diaz ranks 228th in home runs and 239th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Randy Arozarena has a team-high seven home runs.
• Arozarena is currently 89th in home runs and 72nd in RBI in the big leagues.
• Manuel Margot has 11 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 17 walks while hitting .302.
• Ji-Man Choi has a team-best 34 runs batted in.

Betting Tips for Yankees vs. Rays

Our best bet is the Rays on the moneyline at +147 after analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the total score will over the total of 7 runs.