Yankees vs. Rays Prediction, Betting Tips & Picks 6/22/2022

After a three-homer game last time out, Isaac Paredes leads the Tampa Bay Rays (37-31) into action as +124 underdogs against the New York Yankees (50-18). First pitch from Tropicana Field at 7:10 PM ET Wednesday. Jordan Montgomery gets the starting nod for New York while Shane Baz is Tampa Bay’s starter for the contest.

Yankees vs. Rays Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Rays

Our computer pick: Tampa Bay Rays (+124) and Over (7)

Yankees vs. Rays Game Info

• New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery
• Tampa Bay Rays probable starting pitcher: Shane Baz
• Game Day: Wednesday, June 22, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: St. Petersburg, Florida
• Stadium: Tropicana Field

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Pitching Matchup

Yankees Starter Jordan Montgomery

• Montgomery (3-1 with a 2.72 ERA and 56 strikeouts in 72 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Yankees, his 14th of the season.
• His most recent appearance was on Friday against the Toronto Blue Jays, when the left-hander went 6 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up three hits.
• The 29-year-old has amassed an ERA of 2.72, with 6.9 strikeouts per nine innings, in 13 games this season. Opponents have a .216 batting average against him.
• Montgomery is aiming to secure his sixth quality start in a row in this outing.
• Montgomery is seeking his seventh straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 innings per appearance on the hill.
• He will face a Rays offense that ranks 25th in the league with 274 runs while batting .231 as a squad. It has a collective .372 slugging percentage (26th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 64 home runs (20th in MLB).
• The 29-year-old’s 2.72 ERA ranks 17th, .950 WHIP ranks 10th, and 6.9 K/9 ranks 48th among qualifying pitchers this season.

Rays Starter Shane Baz

• The Rays’ Baz will make his third start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Friday against the Baltimore Orioles, throwing 6 2/3 innings without allowing a run.
• He has pitched in two games this season with an ERA of 5.40, a batting average against of .172 and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings.
• He has earned a quality start one time in two starts this season.
• In two starts this season, Baz has lasted five or more innings one time, with an average of 4.1 innings per appearance.
• The Yankees have scored 348 runs this season, which ranks second in MLB. They have 555 hits, 14th in baseball, with 112 home runs (first in the league).

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Yankees have been favored 62 times and won 45, or 72.6%, of those games.
• New York is 35-15 this season when entering a game favored by -146 or more on the moneyline.
• The Yankees have a 59.3% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• New York and its opponents have hit the over in 30 of their 67 games with a total this season.
• The Yankees are 35-32-0 ATS in their 67 games with a spread this season.

Rays Betting Picks & Insights

• The Rays have been chosen as underdogs in 19 games this year and have walked away with the win seven times (36.8%) in those games.
• Tampa Bay has a win-loss record of 2-2 when favored by +124 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rays have a 44.6% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Tampa Bay and their opponents have gone over in 30 of their 68 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• In 68 games with a line this season, the Rays have a mark of 31-37-0 against the spread.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

• Aaron Judge paces the Yankees in home runs (25), runs batted in (50) and has put up a team-high batting average of .300.
• In all of the majors, Judge ranks first in homers and sixth in RBI.
• Anthony Rizzo has 10 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 29 walks while batting .230.
• Rizzo is fourth in home runs and eighth in RBI on the year.
• DJ LeMahieu is batting .264 with 13 doubles, six home runs and 25 walks.
• Gleyber Torres is hitting .263 with 13 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 14 walks.

Rays Leaders & Batting Stats

• Yandy Diaz leads the team in batting average with a mark of .269.
• Diaz’s home run total places him 232nd in the majors, and he is 242nd in RBI.
• Randy Arozarena has 14 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 14 walks while hitting .245.
• Arozarena is 93rd in home runs and 76th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Ji-Man Choi has sent home a team-high 34 runs batted in.
• Harold Ramirez has nine doubles, three home runs and nine walks while batting .301.

Betting Tips for Yankees vs. Rays

Our best bet is the Rays on the moneyline at +124 after digging through all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will over the total of 7 runs.