Yankees vs. Rays Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/15/2022

by | Aug 15, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Yankees vs. Rays Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/15/2022

Coming off of a 1-2 series loss to the Red Sox, the New York Yankees (72-43) are -253 favorites to pick up the win in Game 1 of a three-game series against the Tampa Bay Rays (60-53). The series begins at Yankee Stadium, starting on Monday at 7:05 PM ET. Gerrit Cole will get the ball for New York while Tampa Bay counter with Jalen Beeks.

Yankees vs. Rays Spread and Betting Line

Yankees vs Rays Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Yankees -253 +205 7.5 -105 -115 -1.5 -115 -105

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Rays

We have the Rays on the moneyline at +205 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after digging through all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Tampa Bay Rays (+205) and Over (7.5)

Yankees vs. Rays Game Info

  • New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole
  • Tampa Bay Rays probable starting pitcher: Jalen Beeks
  • Game Day: Monday, August 15, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
  • Location: The Bronx, New York
  • Stadium: Yankee Stadium

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Pitching Matchup

Cole Beeks
23 GS 6
9-4 W-L 2-1
3.38 ERA 2.35
138.1 IP 46.0
33 BB 18
178 SO 55

Yankees Starter Gerrit Cole

  • Cole (9-4 with a 3.38 ERA and 178 strikeouts in 138 1/3 innings pitched) looks for his 10th victory when he makes the start for the Yankees, his 24th of the season.
  • In his last appearance on Wednesday, the righty went 7 2/3 scoreless innings against the Seattle Mariners while surrendering four hits.
  • In 23 games this season, the 31-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.38, with 11.6 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are batting .211 against him.
  • Cole has 15 quality starts under his belt this season.
  • Cole is aiming for his 12th straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.0 frames per appearance on the hill.
  • He will face a Rays offense that ranks 23rd in the league with 464 runs while batting .238 as a squad. It has a collective .377 slugging percentage (24th in MLB action) and has hit a total of 102 home runs (24th in MLB).
  • Head-to-head against the Rays this season, Cole has thrown 19 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs on eight hits while striking out 29.
  • This season, the 31-year-old ranks 30th in ERA (3.38), 14th in WHIP (1.019), and second in K/9 (11.6) among pitchers who qualify.

Rays Starter Jalen Beeks

  • The Rays’ Beeks (2-1) will make his seventh start of the season.
  • The left-hander last pitched on Wednesday against the Milwaukee Brewers, throwing 1 1/3 scoreless innings of relief without allowing a hit.
  • The 29-year-old has an ERA of 2.35, a 3.056 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.196 in 29 games this season.
  • In six starts this season, Beeks has not yet earned a quality start.
  • In six starts this season, Beeks has yet to pitch five or more innings. He’s averaging 1.2 frames per appearance.
  • The Yankees have scored 596 runs this season, which ranks second in MLB. They have 936 hits, 16th in baseball, with 192 home runs (first in the league).
  • The Yankees have gone 3-for-21 with two doubles and two RBI in six innings this season against the left-hander.

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 106 times this season and won 67, or 63.2%, of those games.
  • New York is 13-3 this season when entering a game favored by -253 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 71.7% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
  • Games involving New York have gone over the total set by bookmakers in 55 of 115 chances this season.
  • The Yankees are 52-63-0 against the spread in their 115 chances this season.

Rays Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Rays have come away with 15 wins in the 36 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This is the worst odds of a win that sportsbooks have given Tampa Bay this season with a +205 moneyline set for this game.
  • The Rays have an implied victory probability of 32.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
  • Tampa Bay’s games have gone over the total in 53 of their 113 opportunities.
  • The Rays have an against the spread record of 52-61-0 in 113 games with a line this season.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Aaron Judge leads the Yankees in home runs (46) and runs batted in (100).
  • Among all MLB hitters, Judge ranks 14th in batting average, fifth in on-base percentage, and first in slugging.
  • Anthony Rizzo is hitting .220 with 17 doubles, a triple, 27 home runs and 49 walks.
  • Rizzo ranks eighth in homers and 21st in RBI in the majors.
  • DJ LeMahieu is batting .279 with 18 doubles, 12 home runs and 61 walks.
  • Andrew Benintendi is hitting .304 to lead his team.
  • Benintendi has recorded at least one hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .235 with a double and a walk.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Aaron Judge 111 .300 .398 .678 46 100 125
Anthony Rizzo 102 .220 .339 .496 27 67 80
DJ LeMahieu 104 .279 .381 .417 12 43 109
Andrew Benintendi 109 .304 .378 .384 3 44 121
Gleyber Torres 103 .244 .297 .432 16 47 92

Rays Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Yandy Diaz leads the Rays with a team-leading batting average of .271.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Diaz’s home run total is 213th and his RBI tally is 161st.
  • Randy Arozarena been a consistent power bat this season, as he paces his team with 15 home runs and 58 runs batted in.
  • Arozarena is 59th overall in home runs and 39th in RBI this season.
  • David Peralta is hitting .252 with 21 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 29 walks.
  • Isaac Paredes is hitting .216 with 11 doubles, 14 home runs and 21 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Yandy Díaz 101 .271 .385 .382 6 36 95
Randy Arozarena 108 .258 .320 .437 15 58 107
David Peralta 97 .252 .316 .445 12 45 80
Isaac Paredes 68 .216 .287 .455 14 33 48
Ji-Man Choi 83 .242 .343 .386 8 46 67

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