Yankees vs. Rays Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/16/2022

The Tampa Bay Rays (61-53) are +146 underdogs for their matchup with the New York Yankees (72-44) on Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET. Yandy Diaz has 97 hits on the season and will hope to hit his milestone 100th once the game begins at Yankee Stadium. New York’s Nestor Cortes and Tampa Bay’s Jeffrey Springs have been named the starters for this contest.

Yankees vs. Rays Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Rays

After digging through all of the key trends and stats for this matchup, our best bet is the Rays on the moneyline at +146. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 7.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Tampa Bay Rays (+146) and Over (7.5)

Yankees vs. Rays Game Info

• New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes
• Tampa Bay Rays probable starting pitcher: Jeffrey Springs
• Game Day: Tuesday, August 16, 2022
• Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
• Location: The Bronx, New York
• Stadium: Yankee Stadium

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Pitching Matchup

Yankees Starter Nestor Cortes

• Nestor Cortes Jr. (9-3) is going for his 10th victory when he gets the starting nod for the Yankees in his 22nd start of the season. He has a 2.67 ERA in 118 innings pitched, with 125 strikeouts.
• In his most recent time out on Wednesday, the lefty threw 6 2/3 innings against the Seattle Mariners, giving up three earned runs while surrendering three hits.
• The 27-year-old has an ERA of 2.67, with 9.5 strikeouts per nine innings, in 21 games this season. Opponents are hitting .205 against him.
• Cortes is trying to pick up his 10th quality start of the season.
• Cortes is looking for his sixth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 innings per appearance on the hill.
• He will take the mound against a Rays offense that ranks 21st in MLB with 907 total hits (on a .238 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .376 (24th in MLB) with 102 total home runs (24th in MLB).
• Cortes has pitched 17 2/3 innings, giving up six earned runs on 13 hits while striking out 12 against the Rays this season.
• The 27-year-old’s 2.67 ERA ranks 10th, 1.000 WHIP ranks 10th, and 9.5 K/9 ranks 14th among qualifying pitchers this season.

Rays Starter Jeffrey Springs

• Springs (4-3) will take the mound for the Rays, his 16th start of the season.
• The left-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings while giving up two earned runs on four hits in a matchup with the Milwaukee Brewers.
• The 29-year-old has pitched to a 2.56 ERA this season with 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings compared to 1.9 walks per nine across 23 games.
• He has earned a quality start four times in 15 starts this season.
• Springs has pitched five or more innings in three straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• The Yankees rank 16th in MLB with a .242 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks third in the league (.436) and 192 home runs.
• The left-hander has allowed the Yankees to go 5-for-23 with two home runs and two RBI in six innings this season.

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Yankees have won 67 out of the 107 games, or 62.6%, in which they’ve been favored.
• New York has a record of 44-14, a 75.9% win rate, when favored by -173 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 63.4% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
• So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 55 of their 116 games with a total.
• The Yankees are 52-64-0 against the spread this season.

Rays Betting Picks & Insights

• The Rays have been victorious in 16, or 43.2%, of the 37 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Tampa Bay has a win-loss record of 1-2 when favored by +146 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The Rays have an implied victory probability of 40.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Contests with Tampa Bay have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 53 of 114 chances this season.
• The Rays have posted a record of 53-61-0 against the spread this season.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

• Aaron Judge has gone yard 46 times in the 2022 campaign while driving in 100 runs, both totals that lead the Yankees.
• In all of the majors, Judge ranks first in home runs and first in RBI.
• Anthony Rizzo is batting .221 with 18 doubles, a triple, 27 home runs and 49 walks.
• Among all MLB batters, Rizzo ranks ninth in home runs and 22nd in RBI.
• DJ LeMahieu is batting .279 with 18 doubles, 12 home runs and 61 walks.
• Andrew Benintendi’s .302 batting average is a team-high mark.

Rays Leaders & Batting Stats

• Diaz leads the Rays with a .272 batting average.
• In all of the big leagues, Diaz ranks 213th in homers and 151st in RBI.
• Randy Arozarena has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 15 home runs and 58 RBI.
• Arozarena is currently 62nd in homers and 39th in RBI in the big leagues.
• David Peralta has 21 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 29 walks while hitting .252.
• Isaac Paredes is hitting .218 with 11 doubles, 14 home runs and 22 walks.