Yankees vs. Rays Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/4/2022

The New York Yankees (79-54) stumble into Sunday’s matchup with the Tampa Bay Rays (74-57) looking to break a three-game losing streak. The contest starts at 1:40 PM ET with the Yankees listed as -122 favorites to right the ship. Frankie Montas takes the mound for New York while Shawn Armstrong is Tampa Bay’s starter for the contest.

Yankees vs. Rays Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Rays

We have the Rays on the moneyline at +103 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after taking a look at all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 7 runs.

Our computer pick: Tampa Bay Rays (+103) and Over (7)

Yankees vs. Rays Game Info

• New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Frankie Montas
• Tampa Bay Rays probable starting pitcher: Shawn Armstrong
• Game Day: Sunday, September 4, 2022
• Game Time: 1:40 PM ET
• Location: St. Petersburg, Florida
• Stadium: Tropicana Field

New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay Rays Pitching Matchup

Yankees Starter Frankie Montas

• Montas gets the start for the Yankees, his 25th of the season. He is 4-11 with a 3.94 ERA and 129 strikeouts in 130 1/3 innings pitched.
• The righty’s most recent time out was on Tuesday against the Los Angeles Angels, when he went six innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up eight hits.
• The 29-year-old has amassed an ERA of 3.94, with 8.9 strikeouts per nine innings, in 24 games this season. Opponents have a .249 batting average against him.
• Montás has collected 10 quality starts this year.
• Montás is looking for his fifth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.1 frames per appearance on the hill.
• He will face a Rays squad that is hitting .242 as a unit (16th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .383 (20th in MLB) with 119 total home runs (22nd in MLB).
• In 13 1/3 innings over two appearances against the Rays this season, Montás has a 0.68 ERA and a 0.750 WHIP while his opponents are batting .180.

Rays Starter Shawn Armstrong

• The Rays will send Armstrong to the mound for his first start this season.
• The 31-year-old right-hander will make his first start after pitching in relief 40 times this season.
• He has an ERA of 4.72, a 4.333 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.406 in 40 games this season.
• The Yankees rank fourth in MLB with 653 runs scored this season. They have a .238 batting average this campaign with 206 home runs (first in the league).

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

• This season, the Yankees have been favored 120 times and won 73, or 60.8%, of those games.
• New York has a record of 67-43 in games where bookmakers favor them by at least -122 on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 55% chance to win.
• So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 60 of their 133 games with a total.
• The Yankees are 58-75-0 against the spread in their 133 chances this season.

Rays Betting Picks & Insights

• The Rays have been victorious in 18, or 43.9%, of the 41 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Tampa Bay has a mark of 11-16 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by +103 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Rays have a 49.3% chance of walking away with the win.
• Tampa Bay and their opponents have hit the over in 61 of their 131 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• In 131 games with a line this season, the Rays have a mark of 63-68-0 against the spread.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

• Aaron Judge leads the Yankees in home runs (52) and runs batted in (114).
• Judge is first in homers and first in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Anthony Rizzo is hitting .225 with 19 doubles, a triple, 30 home runs and 55 walks.
• Rizzo is ninth in home runs and 32nd in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
• Rizzo heads into this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .231 with two home runs, two walks and two RBI.
• DJ LeMahieu is batting .265 with 18 doubles, 12 home runs and 65 walks.
• Gleyber Torres is batting .240 with 22 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 28 walks.

Rays Leaders & Batting Stats

• Yandy Diaz paces the Rays with a team-leading batting average of .288.
• Diaz’s home run total places him 184th in the big leagues, and he is 92nd in RBI.
• Randy Arozarena has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 18 home runs and 70 RBI.
• Arozarena ranks 53rd among all hitters in the majors in home runs, and 34th in RBI.
• Harold Ramirez is hitting .328 with 20 doubles, five home runs and 16 walks.
• Isaac Paredes leads the Rays with 18 home runs.