Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/10/2022

by | Jul 10, 2022

SITPicks.com 9 Baseball 9 Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/10/2022

The New York Yankees (61-24) are set to take on the Boston Red Sox (46-39) Sunday at 7:08 PM ET. The Yankees are listed as -131 favorites by sportsbooks, while the underdog Red Sox have +111 odds for the contest. New York’s Jameson Taillon and Boston’s Nick Pivetta have been named the starters for this contest.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Spread and Betting Line

Yankees vs Red Sox Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Yankees -131 +111 9 -118 -102 -1.5 +123 -146

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Red Sox

We have the Red Sox on the moneyline at +111 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after looking at all of the key statistics and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going under the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Boston Red Sox (+111) and Under (9)

Yankees vs. Red Sox Game Info

  • New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon
  • Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta
  • Game Day: Sunday, July 10, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:08 PM ET
  • Location: Boston, Massachusetts
  • Stadium: Fenway Park

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Taillon Pivetta
16 GS 17
9-2 W-L 8-6
3.63 ERA 3.68
89.1 IP 100.1
11 BB 34
74 SO 95

Yankees Starter Jameson Taillon

  • Taillon looks for his 10th win when he gets the start for the Yankees, his 17th of the season. He is 9-2 with a 3.63 ERA and 74 strikeouts in 89 1/3 innings pitched.
  • In his last appearance on Tuesday, the right-hander tossed 5 1/3 innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates, allowing five earned runs while surrendering six hits.
  • In 16 games this season, the 30-year-old has a 3.63 ERA and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .261 to opposing hitters.
  • Taillon has four quality starts under his belt this year.
  • Taillon is seeking his sixth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 frames per appearance on the hill.
  • The opposing Red Sox offense has the eighth-ranked slugging percentage (.414) and is 20th in MLB play with 82 home runs. It has a collective .260 batting average, and is first in MLB with 768 total hits and sixth in MLB action scoring 399 runs.
  • The 30-year-old ranks 35th in ERA (3.63), 27th in WHIP (1.142), and 42nd in K/9 (7.5) among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.

Red Sox Starter Nick Pivetta

  • The Red Sox will hand the ball to Pivetta (8-6) for his 18th start of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Tuesday, when he gave up seven earned runs and allowed eight hits in 5 2/3 innings against the Tampa Bay Rays.
  • The 29-year-old has pitched in 17 games this season with an ERA of 3.68 and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .221.
  • He has 10 quality starts in 17 chances this season.
  • Pivetta will look to pitch five or more innings for the 13th start in a row.
  • The Yankees have scored 444 runs this season, which ranks first in MLB. They are batting .243 for the campaign with 144 home runs, first in the league.
  • The right-hander has allowed the Yankees to go 4-for-20 with two home runs and four RBI in 5 2/3 innings this season.
  • Among qualified pitchers this campaign, the 29-year-old’s 3.68 ERA ranks 37th, 1.156 WHIP ranks 30th, and 8.5 K/9 ranks 27th.

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Yankees have won 56, or 70%, of the 80 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • New York has a record of 51-21 in games where sportsbooks favor them by at least -131 on the moneyline.
  • The Yankees have a 56.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 38 of their 85 games with a total.
  • The Yankees are 42-43-0 against the spread in their 85 chances this season.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Red Sox have won in 16, or 44.4%, of the 36 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
  • Boston has a mark of 9-14 in contests where sportsbooks favor them by +111 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 47.4% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Boston and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 35 of their 85 opportunities.
  • In 85 games with a line this season, the Red Sox have a mark of 47-38-0 against the spread.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Not only does Aaron Judge lead the Yankees in hitting with his .284 average, he also is their premier power option with 30 home runs and 65 RBI.
  • Of all hitters in MLB, Judge’s home run total ranks him first, and his RBI tally ranks him fourth.
  • Anthony Rizzo has 12 doubles, a triple, 22 home runs and 37 walks while hitting .222.
  • Rizzo ranks sixth in home runs and 14th in RBI on the year.
  • DJ LeMahieu is hitting .268 with 13 doubles, eight home runs and 42 walks.
  • Gleyber Torres is batting .268 with 16 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 21 walks.
  • Torres takes a five-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .435 with three doubles, three walks and two RBI.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Aaron Judge 82 .284 .363 .617 30 65 89
Anthony Rizzo 78 .222 .334 .509 22 54 62
DJ LeMahieu 76 .268 .370 .402 8 35 74
Gleyber Torres 76 .268 .324 .483 13 37 71
Giancarlo Stanton 70 .228 .314 .496 21 54 58

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Rafael Devers leads the Red Sox with 19 homers while recording a team-leading batting average of .327.
  • Devers ranks 13th in homers and 20th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Xander Bogaerts is batting .309 with 21 doubles, seven home runs and 34 walks.
  • Bogaerts ranks 139th in homers and 92nd in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Alex Verdugo has 17 doubles, six home runs and 21 walks while hitting .259.
  • J.D. Martinez is batting .313 with 27 doubles, eight home runs and 30 walks.
Name GP BA OBP SLG HR RBI H
Rafael Devers 80 .327 .384 .593 19 51 106
Xander Bogaerts 81 .309 .386 .449 7 35 93
Alex Verdugo 78 .259 .305 .374 6 46 79
J.D. Martínez 74 .313 .381 .488 8 34 91
Trevor Story 78 .221 .291 .426 15 55 66

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