Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/16/2022

by | Jul 16, 2022

The New York Yankees (62-28) hope to avoid an upset as -162 favorites when they take on Rafael Devers (with homers in two straight contests) and the Boston Red Sox (48-43). First pitch is at 7:15 PM ET Saturday, live from Yankee Stadium. New York’s Jameson Taillon and Boston’s Nick Pivetta have been named the starters for this contest.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Spread and Betting Line

Yankees vs Red Sox Betting Information
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Spread Favorite Spread Odds Underdog Spread Odds
Yankees -162 +139 8.5 -114 -106 -1.5 +124 -148

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Red Sox

We have the Red Sox on the moneyline at +139 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after analyzing all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Boston Red Sox (+139) and Over (8.5)

Yankees vs. Red Sox Game Info

  • New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon
  • Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta
  • Game Day: Saturday, July 16, 2022
  • Game Time: 7:15 PM ET
  • Location: The Bronx, New York
  • Stadium: Yankee Stadium

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Taillon Pivetta
17 GS 18
9-2 W-L 8-6
4.01 ERA 4.08
94.1 IP 103.2
12 BB 36
77 SO 100

Yankees Starter Jameson Taillon

  • Taillon will look to grab his 10th victory when he gets the start for the Yankees, his 18th of the season. He is 9-2 with a 4.01 ERA and 77 strikeouts in 94 1/3 innings pitched.
  • His most recent appearance was on Sunday against the Boston Red Sox, when the righty went 5 2/3 innings, surrendering six earned runs while giving up seven hits.
  • The 30-year-old has a 4.01 ERA and 7.3 strikeouts per nine innings in 17 games this season, while giving up a batting average of .264 to his opponents.
  • Taillon has collected four quality starts this year.
  • Taillon is looking for his seventh straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.2 frames per appearance on the hill.
  • The opposing Red Sox offense has a collective .258 batting average, and is second in the league with 815 total hits and fifth in MLB play with 427 runs scored. It has the seventh-ranked slugging percentage (.413) and ranks 19th in home runs (89) in all of MLB.
  • Head-to-head against the Red Sox this season, Taillon has pitched five innings, giving up six earned runs on seven hits while striking out three.
  • This season, the 30-year-old ranks 44th in ERA (4.01), 31st in WHIP (1.166), and 49th in K/9 (7.3) among qualifying pitchers.

Red Sox Starter Nick Pivetta

  • The Red Sox will send Pivetta (8-6) to the mound for his 19th start this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up six earned runs and allowed eight hits in 3 1/3 innings against the New York Yankees.
  • The 29-year-old has pitched in 18 games this season with an ERA of 4.08 and 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings, with an opponent batting average of .232.
  • He has started 18 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in 10 of them.
  • Pivetta has 13 starts of five or more innings this season in 18 chances. He averages 5.2 innings per outing.
  • The Yankees have scored 470 runs this season, which ranks first in MLB. They are batting .242 for the campaign with 151 home runs, first in the league.
  • The right-hander has faced the Yankees two times this season, allowing them to go 12-for-37 with a double, four home runs and 10 RBI in nine innings.
  • Among qualified Major League pitchers this season, the 29-year-old’s 4.08 ERA ranks 46th, 1.215 WHIP ranks 37th, and 8.7 K/9 ranks 26th.

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

  • This season, the Yankees have won 57 out of the 85 games, or 67.1%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • New York is 40-18 this season when entering a game favored by -162 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Yankees have a 61.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • New York’s games have gone over the total in 42 of their 90 chances.
  • The Yankees are 42-48-0 against the spread this season.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

  • The Red Sox have been victorious in 18, or 43.9%, of the 41 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Boston has come away with a win three times in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +139 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 41.8% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Boston’s games have gone over the total in 39 of their 91 opportunities.
  • The Red Sox have posted a record of 50-41-0 against the spread this season.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Aaron Judge has accumulated a team-high 31 home runs and 66 runs batted in.
  • In all of Major League Baseball, Judge is first in homers and fifth in RBI.
  • Anthony Rizzo is hitting .218 with 14 doubles, a triple, 22 home runs and 41 walks.
  • Rizzo is ninth in home runs and 15th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
  • DJ LeMahieu has racked up a team-best batting average of .275.
  • Gleyber Torres has 18 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 23 walks while batting .273.
  • Torres has recorded at least one hit in nine straight games. In his last 10 games he is batting .364 with five doubles, a home run, five walks and five RBI.
Aaron Judge 87 .274 .354 .596 31 66 91
Anthony Rizzo 83 .218 .332 .493 22 57 65
DJ LeMahieu 81 .275 .376 .399 8 35 82
Gleyber Torres 80 .273 .330 .493 14 40 77
Giancarlo Stanton 75 .232 .311 .511 24 61 64

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

  • Devers has recorded a team- leading batting average of .326, while leading the Red Sox in long balls with 21.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Devers’ home run total is 12th and his RBI tally is 21st.
  • Devers takes a hitting streak of four games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .263 with a double, two home runs, a walk and three RBI.
  • Xander Bogaerts is hitting .318 with 24 doubles, seven home runs and 36 walks.
  • Bogaerts ranks 148th in homers and 86th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
  • Alex Verdugo has 19 doubles, six home runs and 22 walks while batting .264.
  • J.D. Martinez has 30 doubles, nine home runs and 31 walks while batting .308.
Rafael Devers 84 .326 .383 .600 21 54 111
Xander Bogaerts 87 .318 .392 .457 7 37 103
Alex Verdugo 84 .264 .309 .377 6 48 87
J.D. Martínez 79 .308 .374 .490 9 38 96
Trevor Story 81 .221 .289 .423 15 58 68

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