Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/8/2022

The Boston Red Sox (45-38) will lean on Rafael Devers, following a two-homer game, to lead them in a matchup with the New York Yankees (60-23) on Friday at 7:10 PM ET. The Red Sox are +125 underdogs for the contest, according to bookmakers. New York’s Nestor Cortes gets the start, and he’ll go against Boston’s Connor Seabold.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Red Sox

Our best bet is the Red Sox on the moneyline at +125 after taking a look at all of the key stats and trends for this matchup. Our computer projects the scoring will over the total of 9.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Boston Red Sox (+125) and Over (9.5)

Yankees vs. Red Sox Game Info

• New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes
• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Connor Seabold
• Game Day: Friday, July 8, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Boston, Massachusetts
• Stadium: Fenway Park

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Yankees Starter Nestor Cortes

• Nestor Cortes Jr. (7-3) gets the starting nod for the Yankees in his 16th start of the season. He’s put together a 2.44 ERA in 85 innings pitched, with 91 strikeouts.
• In his most recent appearance on Saturday, the lefty went 6 2/3 innings against the Cleveland Guardians, allowing one earned run while surrendering three hits.
• The 27-year-old has put up an ERA of 2.44, with 9.6 strikeouts per nine innings, in 15 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .199 batting average against him.
• Cortes is looking to collect his seventh quality start of the year.
• Cortes will try to build on a three-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 innings per outing).
• He will face a Red Sox offense that ranks eighth in the league with 388 runs while batting .260 as a unit. It has a collective .413 slugging percentage (eighth in MLB action) and has hit a total of 79 home runs (20th in MLB).
• The 27-year-old ranks ninth in ERA (2.44), eighth in WHIP (.953), and 14th in K/9 (9.6) among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.

Red Sox Starter Connor Seabold

• The Red Sox will send out Seabold for his first start of the season.
• This will be the first start of the season for the 26-year-old right-hander, who has not made an appearance on the mound in over a season.
• The Yankees have scored 427 runs this season, which ranks first in MLB. They are batting .241 for the campaign with 141 home runs, first in the league.

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

• The Yankees have been favorites in 78 games this season and won 55 (70.5%) of those contests.
• New York is 44-18 this season when entering a game favored by -145 or more on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 59.2% chance to win.
• New York’s games have gone over the total in 36 of their 83 chances.
• The Yankees have an ATS record of 41-42-0 in 83 games with a spread this season.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• The Red Sox have been victorious in 15, or 44.1%, of the 34 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Boston has a win-loss record of 5-7 when favored by +125 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 44.4% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Boston and their opponents have gone over in 33 of their 83 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Red Sox have an against the spread mark of 46-37-0 in 83 games with a line this season.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

• Not only does Aaron Judge lead the Yankees in hitting with his .287 average, he also is their foremost power hitter with 30 home runs and 64 RBI.
• Judge’s home runs rank him first in MLB, and he ranks fourth in RBI.
• Judge has collected a hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .313 with two doubles, a home run, four walks and five RBI.
• Anthony Rizzo is batting .219 with 10 doubles, a triple, 22 home runs and 37 walks.
• Rizzo ranks fifth in home runs and 17th in RBI among all major league batters this season.
• DJ LeMahieu has 13 doubles, eight home runs and 41 walks while hitting .267.
• Giancarlo Stanton is hitting .233 with five doubles, 21 home runs and 33 walks.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• Devers has posted a team- leading batting average of .330, and paces the Red Sox in long balls with 19.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Devers’ home run total ranks 13th and his RBI tally ranks 18th.
• Devers carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .364 with a double, two home runs, a walk and six RBI.
• Xander Bogaerts is hitting .311 with 21 doubles, seven home runs and 33 walks.
• Bogaerts is 135th in homers and 96th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Alex Verdugo is hitting .257 with 17 doubles, six home runs and 20 walks.
• J.D. Martinez is batting .307 with 26 doubles, eight home runs and 29 walks.