Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/13/2022

Aaron Judge, batting .305 this season, leads the New York Yankees (71-42) into a matchup with one of the league’s other top hitters, Rafael Devers (.307 AVG) and the Boston Red Sox (56-58). Judge and the Yankees are -147 favorites on the moneyline for the matchup at Fenway Park, beginning at 7:15 PM ET. New York’s Frankie Montas gets the start, and he’ll go against Boston’s Kutter Crawford.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Red Sox

After digging through all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Red Sox on the moneyline at +124. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 9.5 runs.

Our computer pick: Boston Red Sox (+124) and Over (9.5)

Yankees vs. Red Sox Game Info

• New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Frankie Montas
• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford
• Game Day: Saturday, August 13, 2022
• Game Time: 7:15 PM ET
• Location: Boston, Massachusetts
• Stadium: Fenway Park

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Yankees Starter Frankie Montas

• Montas (4-9 with a 3.59 ERA and 111 strikeouts in 107 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Yankees, his 21st of the season.
• In his last time out on Sunday against the St. Louis Cardinals, the right-hander went three innings, giving up six earned runs while surrendering five hits.
• The 29-year-old has amassed a 3.59 ERA and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings in 20 games this season, while allowing a batting average of .238 to his opponents.
• Montás is looking to collect his 11th quality start of the year in this outing.
• Montás heads into the game with 16 outings of five or more innings pitched this season.
• He will match up with a Red Sox team that is hitting .253 as a unit (seventh in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .409 (12th in MLB) with 111 total home runs (18th in MLB).
• Montás has pitched six innings, giving up one earned run on six hits while striking out seven against the Red Sox this season.

Red Sox Starter Kutter Crawford

• Crawford (3-4) will take to the mound for the Red Sox and make his ninth start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up five earned runs and allowed five hits in five innings against the Kansas City Royals.
• The 26-year-old has pitched in 17 games this season with an ERA of 4.30, a 3.158 strikeout to walk ratio and a WHIP of 1.244.
• He has earned a quality start three times in eight starts this season.
• Crawford has seven starts in a row of five innings or more.
• The Yankees are batting .244 this season, 14th in MLB. They have a team slugging percentage of .442 (third in the league) with 191 home runs.
• The Yankees have gone 9-for-28 with a double, a home run and an RBI in seven innings this season against the right-hander.

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

• The Yankees have won 66, or 63.5%, of the 104 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• This season, New York has won 53 of its 80 games, or 66.2%, when favored by at least -147 on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 59.5% chance to win.
• New York’s games have gone over the total in 55 of their 113 chances.
• The Yankees are 52-61-0 against the spread in their 113 chances this season.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• The Red Sox have won in 23, or 41.1%, of the 56 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs in this year.
• This year, Boston has won 10 of 27 games when listed as at least +124 or worse on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 44.6% chance of pulling out a win.
• Boston and their opponents have gone over in 51 of their 114 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Red Sox are 57-57-0 against the spread in their 114 games that had a posted line this season.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

• Judge is the bat to watch in the Yankees lineup, leading the team in batting average (.305), home runs (46), and RBI (100).
• Among all batters in the majors, Judge’s home run total places him first, and his RBI tally ranks him first.
• Judge brings a hitting streak of seven games into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is hitting .364 with three doubles, four home runs, 13 walks and nine RBI.
• Anthony Rizzo is batting .224 with 17 doubles, a triple, 27 home runs and 48 walks.
• Of all MLB batters, Rizzo is seventh in home runs and 19th in RBI.
• DJ LeMahieu is hitting .282 with 18 doubles, 12 home runs and 61 walks.
• Andrew Benintendi is hitting .304 with 18 doubles, two triples, three home runs and 48 walks.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• Devers leads the Red Sox in home runs (24), runs batted in (60) and has put up a team-high batting average of .307.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Devers ranks 14th in home runs and 29th in RBI.
• Xander Bogaerts has a club-best .307 batting average.
• Bogaerts is currently 147th in homers and 74th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Alex Verdugo is hitting .274 with 28 doubles, seven home runs and 26 walks.
• J.D. Martinez has 34 doubles, nine home runs and 35 walks while hitting .281.