Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 8/14/2022

Andrew Benintendi, batting .305 this season, leads the New York Yankees (72-42) into a matchup with one of the league’s other top hitters, Xander Bogaerts (.306 AVG) and the Boston Red Sox (56-59). Benintendi and the Yankees are -131 favorites on the moneyline for the matchup at Fenway Park, beginning at 7:08 PM ET live on ESPN. Jameson Taillon gets the starting nod for New York while Michael Wacha is Boston’s starter for the contest.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Red Sox

After analyzing all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Red Sox on the moneyline at +112. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 9 runs.

Our computer pick: Boston Red Sox (+112) and Over (9)

Yankees vs. Red Sox Game Info

• New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon
• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Michael Wacha
• Game Day: Sunday, August 14, 2022
• Game Time: 7:08 PM ET
• TV Channel: ESPN
• Location: Boston, Massachusetts
• Stadium: Fenway Park

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Yankees Starter Jameson Taillon

• The Yankees will send Taillon (11-2) to the mound for his 23rd start of the season. He is 11-2 with a 3.95 ERA and 104 strikeouts in 120 2/3 innings pitched.
• In his last appearance on Tuesday, the right-hander threw seven innings against the Seattle Mariners, giving up three earned runs while surrendering three hits.
• In 22 games this season, the 30-year-old has an ERA of 3.95, with 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .246 against him.
• Taillon is looking to pick up his eighth quality start of the season.
• Taillon has pitched five or more innings in a game 17 times this season entering this game.
• The opposing Red Sox offense has the 11th-ranked slugging percentage (.408) and is 18th in MLB play with 111 home runs. It has a collective .253 batting average, and is fifth in MLB with 1001 total hits and 11th in MLB play scoring 513 runs.
• Taillon has pitched 11 innings, giving up seven earned runs on nine hits while striking out eight against the Red Sox this season.
• Among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season, the 30-year-old ranks 42nd in ERA (3.95), 29th in WHIP (1.144), and 39th in K/9 (7.8).

Red Sox Starter Michael Wacha

• The Red Sox will send Wacha to the mound for his first start this season.
• The right-hander is making his first start of the year. The 31-year-old did not make an appearance on the mound last season.
• The Yankees have scored 596 runs this season, which ranks second in MLB. They have 934 hits, 15th in baseball, with 192 home runs (first in the league).

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

• The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 105 times this season and won 67, or 63.8%, of those games.
• New York has a record of 61-32, a 65.6% win rate, when favored by -131 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Yankees, based on the moneyline, is 56.7%.
• So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 55 of their 114 games with a total.
• The Yankees are 52-62-0 against the spread this season.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• The Red Sox have come away with 23 wins in the 57 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Boston has a mark of 14-24 in contests where oddsmakers favor them by +112 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 47.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
• Boston and their opponents have hit the over in 51 of their 115 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Red Sox are 58-57-0 against the spread in their 115 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

• Aaron Judge is the Yankees best power hitter, launching 46 home runs this season in addition to accumulating 100 RBI, both team highs.
• Judge’s home runs place him first in the majors, and he ranks first in RBI.
• Anthony Rizzo is batting .222 with 17 doubles, a triple, 27 home runs and 49 walks.
• Rizzo ranks seventh in home runs and 20th in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
• DJ LeMahieu has 18 doubles, 12 home runs and 61 walks while batting .279.
• Benintendi’s .305 batting average leads his team.
• Benintendi takes a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .294 with three doubles, two walks and three RBI.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rafael Devers paces the Red Sox with 24 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 60.
• Devers’ home run total places him 14th in the big leagues, and he ranks 31st in RBI.
• Bogaerts has a club-leading .306 batting average.
• Among all MLB hitters, Bogaerts is 151st in homers and 77th in RBI.
• Alex Verdugo has 29 doubles, seven home runs and 27 walks while batting .277.
• J.D. Martinez is batting .278 with 34 doubles, nine home runs and 35 walks.