Yankees vs. Red Sox Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 9/13/2022

Aaron Judge, batting .307 this season, leads the New York Yankees (85-56) into a matchup with one of the league’s other top hitters, Xander Bogaerts (.319 AVG) and the Boston Red Sox (69-72). Judge and the Yankees are -165 favorites on the moneyline for the matchup at Fenway Park, beginning at 7:10 PM ET. Gerrit Cole gets the starting nod for New York while Nick Pivetta is Boston’s starter for the contest.

Yankees vs. Red Sox Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Red Sox

After analyzing all of the key trends and statistics for this matchup, our best bet is the Red Sox on the moneyline at +139. Our computer prediction sees the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Boston Red Sox (+139) and Over (8)

Yankees vs. Red Sox Game Info

• New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole
• Boston Red Sox probable starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta
• Game Day: Tuesday, September 13, 2022
• Game Time: 7:10 PM ET
• Location: Boston, Massachusetts
• Stadium: Fenway Park

New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Pitching Matchup

Yankees Starter Gerrit Cole

• Cole makes the start for the Yankees, his 29th of the season. He is 11-7 with a 3.20 ERA and 218 strikeouts in 171 1/3 innings pitched.
• The right-hander’s most recent appearance came on Wednesday against the Minnesota Twins, when he threw 6 2/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up five hits.
• The 32-year-old has an ERA of 3.20, with 11.5 strikeouts per nine innings, in 28 games this season. Opponents are hitting .209 against him.
• Cole is looking for his fourth quality start in a row.
• Cole is looking for his 17th straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.0 frames per appearance on the hill.
• He will face off against a Red Sox offense that is batting .260 as a unit (fourth in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .411 (eighth in MLB) with 133 total home runs (20th in MLB).
• Head-to-head against the Red Sox this season, Cole has pitched 17 innings, giving up 10 earned runs on 13 hits while striking out 22.
• Among pitchers who qualify in MLB action this season, the 32-year-old ranks 20th in ERA (3.20), 12th in WHIP (1.016), and third in K/9 (11.5).

Red Sox Starter Nick Pivetta

• The Red Sox’s Pivetta (9-11) will make his 29th start of the season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed two hits in five innings against the Tampa Bay Rays.
• The 29-year-old has an ERA of 4.29 and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .246 in 28 games this season.
• He has started 28 games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in 12 of them.
• Pivetta has started 28 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 21 times. He averages 5.2 innings per appearance.
• The Yankees rank second in MLB with 697 runs scored this season. They have a .239 batting average this campaign with 221 home runs (first in the league).
• This season, the right-hander has pitched against the Yankees in three games, and they have gone 19-for-57 with three doubles, six home runs and 17 RBI over 13 1/3 innings.
• The 29-year-old ranks 42nd in ERA (4.29), 44th in WHIP (1.320), and 21st in K/9 (8.6) among qualified pitchers in the majors this year.

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

• The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 130 times this season and won 82, or 63.1%, of those games.
• This season, New York has won 54 of its 80 games, or 67.5%, when favored by at least -165 on the moneyline.
• The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 62.3% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
• Games involving New York have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 69 of 145 chances this season.
• The Yankees are 64-81-0 against the spread in their 145 chances this season.

Red Sox Betting Picks & Insights

• The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 70 games this year and have walked away with the win 27 times (38.6%) in those games.
• This season, Boston has come away with a win five times in 17 chances when named as an underdog of at least +139 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 41.8% chance of walking away with the win.
• Boston and their opponents have gone over in 64 of their 141 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Red Sox are 73-68-0 against the spread in their 141 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

• Judge’s 55 homers and 121 RBI both lead the Yankees, in addition to his team-high .307 average.
• In all of the majors, Judge is first in homers and first in RBI.
• Judge carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .444 with a double, five walks and three RBI.
• Gleyber Torres is hitting .240 with 22 doubles, a triple, 21 home runs and 32 walks.
• Among all MLB hitters, Torres is 42nd in homers and 77th in RBI.
• Torres has three straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .238 with two home runs, three walks and five RBI.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa is batting .269 with 19 doubles, three home runs and 29 walks.
• Giancarlo Stanton is batting .217 with six doubles, 26 home runs and 42 walks.
• Stanton has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with two home runs, two walks and four RBI.

Red Sox Leaders & Batting Stats

• Rafael Devers has a team-leading 26 home runs and has driven in 78 runs.
• Devers’ home run total puts him 24th in the majors, and he ranks 29th in RBI.
• Devers carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .278 with a home run, three walks and six RBI.
• Bogaerts’ .319 batting average leads his team.
• Bogaerts is 117th among all hitters in the majors in homers, and 51st in RBI.
• Alex Verdugo is hitting .286 with 35 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 36 walks.
• Tommy Pham has 19 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 51 walks while batting .247.