Yankees vs. Reds Prediction, Computer Picks, Odds & Pitching Matchup 7/12/2022

The Cincinnati Reds (32-54) will vie for their fifth straight victory when they visit the New York Yankees (61-25) on Tuesday at 7:05 PM ET. The Yankees are listed as -205 favorites to stop the streak, while the Reds are +175 underdogs to keep their momentum. Gerrit Cole starts for New York while Graham Ashcraft is Cincinnati’s starter for the contest.

Yankees vs. Reds Spread and Betting Line

Computer Predictions for Yankees vs. Reds

We have the Reds on the moneyline at +175 on the moneyline as our best bet in this contest after analyzing all of the key trends and stats for this matchup. Our computer picks see the scoring going over the total of 8 runs.

Our computer pick: Cincinnati Reds (+175) and Over (8)

Yankees vs. Reds Game Info

• New York Yankees probable starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole
• Cincinnati Reds probable starting pitcher: Graham Ashcraft
• Game Day: Tuesday, July 12, 2022
• Game Time: 7:05 PM ET
• Location: The Bronx, New York
• Stadium: Yankee Stadium

New York Yankees vs Cincinnati Reds Pitching Matchup

Yankees Starter Gerrit Cole

• Cole (8-2 with a 3.26 ERA and 124 strikeouts in 99 1/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Yankees, his 18th of the season.
• His most recent appearance was on Thursday against the Boston Red Sox, when the righty tossed six innings, surrendering five earned runs while allowing five hits.
• The 31-year-old has an ERA of 3.26, with 11.2 strikeouts per nine innings, in 17 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .197 batting average against him.
• Cole is trying to collect his 12th quality start of the season in this matchup.
• Cole will look to build on a six-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.3 innings per appearance).
• He will take the hill against a Reds offense that ranks 19th in MLB with 681 total hits (on a .240 batting average). The squad also slugs a collective .379 (22nd in MLB) with 80 total home runs (21st in MLB).
• The 31-year-old ranks 28th in ERA (3.26), 12th in WHIP (1.017), and fourth in K/9 (11.2) among qualifying pitchers in MLB action this season.

Reds Starter Graham Ashcraft

• The Reds’ Ashcraft (4-2) will make his 10th start of the season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed six innings while giving up two earned runs on 10 hits in a matchup with the New York Mets.
• The 24-year-old has an ERA of 4.35 and 5.3 strikeouts per nine innings with an opponent batting average of .271 in nine games this season.
• He has started nine games this season, earning a quality start (6 or more IP, 3 or fewer ER) in five of them.
• In nine starts, Ashcraft has pitched through or past the fifth inning six times. He has a season average of 5.2 frames per outing.
• The Yankees rank 14th in MLB with a .243 batting average this season. They have a team slugging percentage that ranks second in the league (.443) and 146 home runs.

Yankees Betting Picks & Insights

• The Yankees have won 56, or 69.1%, of the 81 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
• New York is 25-2 this season when entering a game favored by -205 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 67.2% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
• New York’s games have gone over the total in 39 of their 86 chances.
• In 86 games with a spread this season, the Yankees are 42-44-0 ATS.

Reds Betting Picks & Insights

• The Reds have been chosen as underdogs in 68 games this year and have walked away with the win 26 times (38.2%) in those games.
• Cincinnati has a win-loss record of 4-13 when favored by +175 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• The Reds have an implied victory probability of 36.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Cincinnati’s games have gone over the total in 46 of their 88 opportunities.
• The Reds are 40-48-0 against the spread in their 88 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Yankees Leaders & Batting Stats

• Aaron Judge’s 30 long balls and 65 RBI both lead the Yankees, on top of his team-high .283 average.
• Among all MLB hitters, Judge ranks 34th in batting average, 29th in on-base percentage, and second in slugging.
• Judge has collected a hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .292 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and six RBI.
• Anthony Rizzo is hitting .223 with 13 doubles, a triple, 22 home runs and 37 walks.
• Rizzo is eighth in home runs and 16th in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
• Rizzo enters this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with three doubles, two home runs, two walks and four RBI.
• DJ LeMahieu is hitting .270 with 13 doubles, eight home runs and 42 walks.
• Gleyber Torres is hitting .268 with 16 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 21 walks.
• Torres is riding a five-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .435 with three doubles, three walks and two RBI.

Reds Leaders & Batting Stats

• Brandon Drury leads the Reds with 18 home runs and 50 runs batted in, while recording a team-high batting average of .273.
• Drury’s home run total puts him 18th in the majors, and he ranks 23rd in RBI.
• Drury carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .364 with three doubles, a triple, a home run and five RBI.
• Tommy Pham is batting .248 with 10 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 38 walks.
• Pham ranks 65th in home runs and 85th in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Kyle Farmer is hitting .271 with 17 doubles, five home runs and 18 walks.
• Tyler Stephenson is hitting .320 with eight doubles, six home runs and 11 walks.